Sufficiently Advanced Overthinking is Indistinguishable From Not Thinking

Sep 26, 2024

Is there really a difference between overthinking and not thinking at all?

This post is a continuation of my thoughts about builder identity politics, but today I’m focusing on decision-making when we have limited information (which, let’s be honest, is most of the time).

Specifically, let’s consider three types of people:

Person 1: The Non-Thinker

Person 2: The Over-Thinker

Person 3: The Balanced Thinker


In the end, is there really a difference between the person who doesn’t think at all and the one who overthinks everything? Both might end up with the same outcome. What makes Person 3 stand out is their ability to cut through the noise and focus on what really matters.

So next time you’re stuck in an overthinking loop, ask yourself: am I really making progress, or am I just going in circles?